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Why the story of inflation in 2012 could get complicated

Inflation would at last appear to have embarked on a downward path, which could signal an easing of the income squeeze that is currently affecting UK households (See XpertHR's February 2012 economic commentary for more on this topic). But how likely...

Published 8 Feb 2012 7:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: inflation, economics, economic indicators, economic outlook, economic commentary, cpi, iran, strait of hormuz

UK workers on track for two years of below-inflation pay awards

Below-inflation pay awards mean that recovery is proving more painful than recession for many UK households. Recent analysis from the IFS suggests that if latest OBR projections prove correct, real household disposable incomes are likely to be lower by...

Published 6 Jan 2012 7:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay and benefits, pay awards, inflation, pay, rpi

Economic prospects for 2012: 'No-growth Britain'?

Could we be about to enter the era of "no-growth Britain" (to use a phrase coined by pseudonymous HR blogger Rick)? XpertHR's January 2012 economic commentary looks ahead to prospects for the coming year, and finds that many commentators...

Published 3 Jan 2012 7:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay awards, inflation, economics, unemployment, david cameron, economic recovery, austerity measures, economic outlook, double-dip recession, Eurodämmerung

Is there a silver lining to below-inflation pay awards?

Many UK workers have now been living with below-inflation pay awards for a prolonged period. A sliver of welcome news came last month, when a slight easing in inflation resulted in a slight narrowing of the gap between pay awards and inflation. The median...

Published 5 Dec 2011 7:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay and benefits, pay awards, inflation, unemployment, george osborne, autumn statement

Economic outlook offers little festive cheer

As 2011 draws to a close, the economic outlook would at first glance appear to offer little in the way of festive cheer. There are serious concerns that UK economic growth will stutter in the current quarter, and could flatline or even go negative in...

Published 1 Dec 2011 7:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay awards, inflation, economics, recession, christmas, gdp, george osborne, Europe, economic outlook, economic commentary, Eurodämmerung, eurozone, austerity christmas

Where will inflation go in 2012?

As 2011 progresses, inflation continues to roar ahead of pay awards . But could the inflation side of the equation be about to ease off? And could private sector pay awards be about to stage something of a recovery? UK inflation set to fall back in 2012...

Published 4 Nov 2011 7:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay awards, inflation, benchmarking, economics, rpi

UK economic growth in Q4 2011 likely to be 'close to zero,' says Bank of England

We noted yesterday that the spending power of UK households continues to be squeezed as inflation continues to roar ahead of pay awards in 2011. This ongoing weakness in household spending power is likely to bear down strongly on the ability of the UK...

Published 19 Oct 2011 10:50 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay awards, inflation, bank of england, economics, economic indicators, gdp, economic recovery, economic outlook, mpc

Inflation continues to roar ahead of pay awards in 2011

The gap between pay awards and inflation would appear to be growing ever wider as 2011 progresses. Latest inflation figures - published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) this morning - reveal the following: Retail prices index (RPI) inflation...

Published 18 Oct 2011 11:37 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: inflation, bank of england, economics, deflation, george osborne, cpi, rpi

Is inflation 'about to peak'?

Inflation is once again uncomfortably high and rising. Latest official inflation figures from the ONS reveal show that consumer prices index (CPI) inflation - the Government's target measure - ran at 4.5% in August 2011 - once again more than double...

Published 6 Oct 2011 8:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: inflation, economics, cpi, rpi

QE2: Renewed quantitative easing on the agenda?

It is all but certain that UK interest rates will once again be held at their record low of 0.5% when the results of this month's Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting are announced at midday on Thursday 6 October 2011. But it appears...

Published 4 Oct 2011 8:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: inflation, bank of england, economics, quantitative easing, gdp, economic recovery, qe2, economic outlook, economic commentary, mpc

Why recovery is more painful than recession for UK households

e are in a topsy-turvy period. For most people, recovery is proving far more painful than recession. Real incomes held up surprisingly well in the recession but are falling sharply in the recovery. This is according to Sunday Times Economics Editor David...

Published 5 Aug 2011 8:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay and benefits, xperthr, pay awards, inflation, economic commentary

Are record-low interest rates here to stay?

At its July 2011 meeting, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) once again voted to hold UK interest rates at the historic low of 0.5% . The minutes of the July 2011 MPC meeting (to be published later today) will provide some insight into...

Published 20 Jul 2011 8:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: inflation, bank of england, economics, monetary policy committee, interest rates, ecb, jean-claude trichet, mpc

Below-inflation pay awards look set to dominate latter half of 2011

Below-inflation pay awards remain a reality for the majority of UK workers. Looking ahead, it would appear likely that this situation will persist for the remainder of 2011 at least. Latest reward trends analysis from XpertHR reveals the following: The...

Published 6 Jul 2011 8:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay and benefits, xperthr, pay awards, inflation, pay

Pay growth decreases as pay settlements dip

Alongside the weakness of the labour market , the labour market figures published yesterday showed pay growth slowing, with some sectors seeing average earnings shrinking. Before the recession, pay growth of around 4% to 5% was the norm. The latest statistics...

Published 16 Jun 2011 11:14 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay and benefits, pay awards, inflation, labour market, earnings

Wage-price spiral: The worst-case scenario in 2011?

Pay awards remain pivotal in 2011. Whether UK workers continue to tolerate below-inflation pay awards is important to prospects for economic recovery. From the point of view of UK workers, pay awards are crucial to maintaining or improving living standards...

Published 7 Jun 2011 8:00 AM by XpertHR - Employment Intelligence

Filed under: pay and benefits, xperthr, pay awards, inflation, benchmarking, economics, economic indicators, xperthr salary surveys, economic recovery, economic outlook, economic commentary

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