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HospitalityLatest NewsJob creation and lossesLabour marketFurlough

Numbers on furlough fall to lowest level yet

by Adam McCulloch 9 Sep 2021
by Adam McCulloch 9 Sep 2021 Hospitality is one sector where people are coming off furlough relatively rapidly
Photo: Shutterstock
Hospitality is one sector where people are coming off furlough relatively rapidly
Photo: Shutterstock

The number of people on furlough has continued to decline, with young people in particular coming off the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme, new figures show.

At the end of July, 1.6 million people were on furlough, the lowest level since the start of the pandemic and 340,000 fewer than a month earlier.

Last May, at the scheme’s peak, nearly 9 million people were on furlough.

However, the fall in numbers has not been equal across the sectors, with half of eligible workers in the travel industry still on the scheme.

Since the start of the Covid pandemic in March 2020, 11.6 million workers have been paid by the government programme, which is due to be wound up at the end of this month.

According to the Treasury there had been a “striking fall” in the number of young people on furlough with 121,600 people aged 18 to 34 coming off the scheme during June and July, it said.

The arts, entertainment and recreation sectors, as well as accommodation and food services have seen particularly large reductions in the number of jobs on furlough, the Treasury said. Numbers furloughed from these sectors declined by 26,200 and 96,700 in July respectively.

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However, 51% of people employed in passenger air transport and 41% of travel agency and tour operator workers are still on furlough, Treasury figures reveal.

Last month, British Airways warned it was facing a serious problem over wage costs, which would  steeply increase after the end of the furlough scheme.

Older people were also more likely to be still on furlough. Those aged 65 and over had the highest rate of furlough, at 8%.

“As the end of the furlough scheme looms into view, men, older people and travel sector workers are particularly at risk,” said Sarah Coles, personal finance analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, told the BBC.

She warned that a lot of people currently on furlough from the travel sector would have to move industry.

Charlie McCurdy, economist at the Resolution Foundation, said the number of people coming off furlough over the summer had “slowed to a trickle”.

He added: “As a result, up to a million employees could still be on furlough when the scheme closes at the end of this month.

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“While we expect most of these staff to return to their previous roles, a significant number will not, and we could see a fresh rise in unemployment this autumn.”

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Adam McCulloch

Adam McCulloch first worked for Personnel Today magazine in the early 1990s as a sub editor. He rejoined Personnel Today as a writer in 2017, covering all aspects of HR but with a special interest in diversity, social mobility and industrial relations. He has ventured beyond the HR realm to work as a freelance writer and production editor in sectors including travel (The Guardian), aviation (Flight International), agriculture (Farmers' Weekly), music (Jazzwise), theatre (The Stage) and social work (Community Care). He is also the author of KentWalksNearLondon. Adam first became interested in industrial relations after witnessing an exchange between Arthur Scargill and National Coal Board chairman Ian McGregor in 1984, while working as a temp in facilities at the NCB, carrying extra chairs into a conference room!

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