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InflationPublic sectorPay settlements

Pay awards lose pace with inflation

by Jo Faragher 29 Jun 2017
by Jo Faragher 29 Jun 2017 As pay awards fail to keep up with inflation, employees may find their wages do not stretch as far
As pay awards fail to keep up with inflation, employees may find their wages do not stretch as far

Employers have given a median 2% pay award to their employees over the three months to the end of May 2017, according to the latest data from XpertHR.

This is the sixth consecutive rolling quarter that pay awards have stood at 2%, demonstrating the lack of movement in pay award levels since before the recession, and lagging behind the rate of inflation.

Pay award resources

Pay levels and awards

Unions urge May to lift 1% pay cap

Pay awards by industry

XpertHR pay and benefits editor Sheila Attwood said that the rate of inflation – currently at 3.7% on the retail prices index (RPI) measure – wiped out the value of many pay awards, meaning employees remain squeezed on pay.

“Although employers are making positive moves to address this – through not freezing pay, and giving higher awards than last year – there is still little sign that employees will start receiving more than 2% at their annual pay review,” she said.

In the run-up to 2009, pay awards rose from several years at 3%, up to 3.5% and beyond. Before the recession, the last time pay awards were at 2% for any length of time was in the second half of 1993.

Furthermore, many commentators expect RPI inflation to keep on rising, so employees will feel little benefit from these awards.

XpertHR’s analysis, which covers awards between 1 March and 31 May 2017 and takes account of almost 3.3 million employees, also found that:

  • half of all pay awards are worth between 1.5% and 2.5%;
  • 2% is the most common pay award, given to 28.5% of employee groups;
  • a 2% pay award was recorded in the services, and manufacturing-and-production sectors;
  • four in 10 pay awards (42.2%) are higher than employees received a year ago, with one-third (33.2%) lower; and
  • the number of pay reviews resulting in a pay freeze remains low, at just 4.8%.

Yesterday, the Government stopped Labour calls to scrap the public-sector pay cap by 14 votes in the House of Commons. Nevertheless, there are hints that the 1% public-sector pay cap could be lifted, with Downing Street sources stating it was “under review”, while later stressing there had been no change in policy.

“Public-sector pay awards have been worth less than private-sector awards since April 2010, and [an end to the cap] would start to bring them more in line,” Attwood added.

Jo Faragher
Jo Faragher

Jo Faragher has been an employment and business journalist for 20 years. She regularly contributes to Personnel Today and writes features for a number of national business and membership magazines. Jo is also the author of 'Good Work, Great Technology', published in 2022 by Clink Street Publishing, charting the relationship between effective workplace technology and productive and happy employees. She won the Willis Towers Watson HR journalist of the year award in 2015 and has been highly commended twice.

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