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EuropeLatest NewsEconomics, government & businessIndustrial action / strikesPay & benefits

Real wages in UK almost 3% below 2008 levels

by Adam McCulloch 10 Jul 2023
by Adam McCulloch 10 Jul 2023 Junior doctors on strike in June 2023.
Photograph: Guy Bell/Alamy
Junior doctors on strike in June 2023.
Photograph: Guy Bell/Alamy

The UK has seen 15 years of real wage stagnation, according to a new analysis published today.

Based on the OECD average, the TUC has concluded that UK workers will miss out on £3,600 this year in pay as result of their wages not keeping up with those of other countries.

The TUC claims its analysis shows how the UK’s wage growth since the financial crisis has resulted in average real pay still 2.7% down compared with 2008.

By contrast, real wage growth across the OECD as a whole has risen by 8.8%, on average, over the same period.

The union body claimed this had “left UK workers massively out of pocket compared to their peers in other countries”.

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There is no sign of an improvement this year, said the TUC, as the pay gap is set to worsen – based on OECD forecasts, workers are likely to miss out on an additional £3,800 next year as a result of UK wage growth continuing to lag behind.

The union body highlighted how by 2015, wage growth in most other OECD countries had returned to pre-crisis levels, while real wages in the UK were below their 2008 levels and saw the country sitting in 27th place out of 33.

While real wages were falling across the board, recent TUC analysis showed that nominal pay growth was only accelerating for the top 10% of earners – while it was slowing for the rest of the workforce.

Workers among the top 1% of earners, with an annual income of at least £180,000, had seen their pay growth more than double – to 7.9% from 3.7% – since the turn of the year, the analysis revealed.

But workers on the median salary – receiving £26,600 a year – had seen a fall in annual wage rises, halving from 9.5% to 4.7% since the turn of the year.

TUC general secretary Paul Nowak said: “Since the financial crash, in most parts of the world workers have seen their real wages go up. But the UK has been an international outlier on pay with family budgets being shredded.

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“The abysmal wage growth of the past 15 years has left UK households brutally exposed to the current cost of living crisis.

“UK workers are being hit by a double whammy of uniquely high inflation and really poor wage growth.

He added that the current wave of strikes by UK workers was simply the result of people having to take action to defend their living standards.

The UK recorded a figure of -2.7% in real wages “growth” from 2008 to this year. Meanwhile, the Baltic states – Lithuania, Latvia, Poland and Estonia – had seen the best real wage performance since 2008, with real wages up by around 30% since 2008. Germany had seen real wage growth of 8.7% and France 1.9%.

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Finland, Japan, Spain, Italy and Greece, however, had all performed worse than the UK for real wages since 2008, according to the analysis gleaned from OECD figures.

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Adam McCulloch

Adam McCulloch first worked for Personnel Today magazine in the early 1990s as a sub editor. He rejoined Personnel Today as a writer in 2017, covering all aspects of HR but with a special interest in diversity, social mobility and industrial relations. He has ventured beyond the HR realm to work as a freelance writer and production editor in sectors including travel (The Guardian), aviation (Flight International), agriculture (Farmers' Weekly), music (Jazzwise), theatre (The Stage) and social work (Community Care). He is also the author of KentWalksNearLondon. Adam first became interested in industrial relations after witnessing an exchange between Arthur Scargill and National Coal Board chairman Ian McGregor in 1984, while working as a temp in facilities at the NCB, carrying extra chairs into a conference room!

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