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Pay & benefitsPay settlements

Are wages set to rise faster in 2015?

by Sheila Attwood 13 Aug 2014
by Sheila Attwood 13 Aug 2014

The latest figures show that employers are facing dilemmas over pay, as wage rises fail to keep track with economic recovery and jobs growth. Will this continue into next year?

The Bank of England’s August 2014 Inflation report forecasts that “wage growth is likely to remain weak for the remainder of 2014”. The report notes that “a central judgment for the [Monetary Policy] Committee is the degree to which the current weakness in wage growth will persist.”

Take part in XpertHR’s pay prsopects survey

Take part in XpertHR’s pay prospects survey to find out whether or not the more positive economic climate will be reflected in higher pay awards over the coming year.

All who complete the survey will receive a free copy of the survey results.

Pay settlement data collected by XpertHR has shown that pay awards were worth between 2% and 2.5% for most of the past four years. Employers told researchers that they do not have the ability, in the current economic climate, to offer higher increases.

The findings are in line with the CIPD’s quarterly Labour Market Outlook survey, published this week, which found wage growth is expected to remain weak even though output is growing strongly and the jobs market is buoyant. The CIPD’s survey of 1,000 employees shows that among those workers who have had a pay rise this year, the median increase has fallen to 2% from 2.5% in 2013.

Low wage growth continues despite preliminary estimates by the Office for National Statistics showing GDP grew for the sixth consecutive quarter, and that the economy is now larger than in the first quarter of 2008, just before the recession took hold.

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The CIPD says job insecurity has held wages down until now, but the growth in jobs may encourage employees to move on, leaving employers with a dilemma about whether or not to review and raise pay.

You can discover employers’ future pay plans by taking part in the XpertHR pay prospects survey. Completing the survey will help XpertHR build up a comprehensive picture of pay settlement expectations for 2015, and all participants will receive a free copy of the survey results.

Sheila Attwood

Sheila Attwood is Senior Content Manager, Data and HR Insights at Brightmine. She has more than 20 years' experience of working in a research and editorial capacity in a publishing environment, with a focus on the labour market, reward, industrial relations and HR practice. Sheila leads the team that is responsible for the HR and reward content on Brightmine, with a key responsibility for the pay settlement tracking service. She is an expert on company pay awards and is regularly called upon to appear in the broadcast and print media to comment on the level of increase in pay rates.

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